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UK politics opinion polls

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  • Saturday, 24 February, 2024
    UK general election poll tracker

    Live-updating state of the parties polling ahead of the general election

    An image of a hand placing a ballot paper in a ballot box
  • Wednesday, 3 January, 2024
    Inside Politics
    Why election polls can be completely wrong

    Examples from around the world show that voters are not predictable

    Keir Starmer delivers a speech
  • Friday, 29 September, 2023
    Data PointsJohn Burn-Murdoch
    Poll-driven politics does nobody any favours

    One-dimensional survey questions foster one-dimensional debate

    Five hands from people of different ethnic groups reaching up against a backdrop of a barchart
  • Thursday, 28 September, 2023
    Inside Politics
    Sunak’s attempted reset is all pain, no gain

    PM wants to show willingness to confront tough decisions, but his announcements are so far unhelpful to his falling ratings

    Rishi Sunak stands at a podium featuring the words: ‘Long-term decisions for a brighter future’
  • Monday, 3 July, 2023
    Inside Politics
    What first poll in Nadine Dorries’ seat tells us, plus its caveats

    Past attempts at temperature taking in constituencies shows challenge of getting a representative sample

    Mid Bedfordshire MP Nadine Dorries
  • Wednesday, 7 June, 2023
    UK politics
    Labour election victory at risk from undecided voters, UK pollsters say

    Sunak well placed to win over a large bloc of floating voters despite Starmer’s substantial poll lead, survey suggests

    Labour leader Keir Starmer speaks to supporters in Kent after a positive set of local results in May
  • Tuesday, 18 October, 2022
    FT live news
    Live news updates from October 18: Russian missiles hit Kyiv for second day, Goldman Sachs announces overhaul
  • Friday, 7 October, 2022
    News in-depthLiz Truss
    How Liz Truss is out of sync with the British public

    Polling suggests there is little appetite for PM’s policies to improve economic growth

  • Wednesday, 28 September, 2022
    FT live news
    UK economy updates from September 29: Kwarteng stands by tax cuts, Truss blames ‘global’ factors
  • Saturday, 20 November, 2021
    Paula Surridge
    Polling changes expose a chink in the Conservatives’ electoral armour

    Labour needs a way to turn indecision among 2019 Tory voters into a positive choice to vote for the alternative

    Green and Labour party campaign sings stand outside houses. In previous elections, a substantial portion of those who said they would vote Green in fact voted Labour on polling day
  • Thursday, 15 July, 2021
    FT AlphavilleJemima Kelly
    A Covid poll with some very different findings to *that* viral Ipsos one

    A recent Ipsos MORI/Economist poll on Covid restrictions was redone along the lines of our suggestions and the results are starkly different.

  • Sunday, 11 July, 2021
    Rana Foroohar
    Spacs are falling short of their promises

    Plenty of people have been buying into their success story but research points to risk for investors

  • Monday, 21 June, 2021
    Brexit
    Brexit poll shows ‘limited enthusiasm’ for UK-EU trade deal

    Five years on from referendum, 4 out of 5 Britons surveyed say they would still vote same way

  • Wednesday, 5 May, 2021
    Poll tracker: how will the SNP fare in Scotland’s May elections?

    The FT has updated its analysis of opinion polls ahead of Scottish and Welsh votes

    A montage of the Wales and Scotland flags
  • Monday, 19 April, 2021
    Scottish independence
    Interactive calculator: How will Alex Salmond’s new party affect Scottish elections?

    Use the FT’s tool to see whether Alba will help or hinder pro-independence parties

  • Sunday, 18 April, 2021
    Scottish independence
    Half of UK thinks Scotland should be allowed second independence referendum

    Poll reveals less than a quarter of people think UK will exist in current form a decade from now

    Supporters of Scottish independence at a rally in Glasgow in 2019
  • Monday, 8 March, 2021
    Scottish independence
    Polls in Scotland show Sturgeon hit by handling of Salmond claims

    Nationalist colleagues fear SNP’s chances of winning a majority in May elections could be damaged

  • Wednesday, 30 December, 2020
    The Big Read
    Underestimating Trump: the US polling industry under fire

    After Joe Biden’s narrower-than-expected victory in some key states forecasters face a harsh reckoning

  • Friday, 6 November, 2020
    Tim Harford
    Why pollsters so often seem to get it wrong

    The huge win suggested for Joe Biden did not materialise — but we shouldn’t expect certainty

    The state-level polls were off in much the same way and in much the same places as they were in 2016 and the 2018 midterms
  • Thursday, 12 December, 2019
    UK general election
    UK general election poll tracker

    Poll of polls tracks voting intention ahead of the general election

  • Wednesday, 11 December, 2019
    Britain after Brexit
    Boris Johnson’s eleventh-hour blunder

    Is apparent heartlessness over a 4-year-old boy lying on hospital floor losing him votes?

    Prime Minister Boris Johnson campaigning in Manchester on Tuesday. YouGov’s MRP poll on Tuesday night suggests his Conservative party's lead over Labour is starting to tighten.
  • Wednesday, 11 December, 2019
    UK general election
    Tories still set for majority but lead narrows, latest poll shows

    Labour closes gap ahead of election and possibility increases of hung parliament

  • Tuesday, 10 December, 2019
    UK general election
    Election: Labour minister calls party’s chances ‘dire’ — as it happened
    © Licensed to London News Pictures. 10/12/2019. London, UK. Shadow Secretary of State for Health and Social Care Jon Ashworth departs Millbank after appearing on Victoria Derbyshire .  Photo credit: George Cracknell Wright/LNP
  • Tuesday, 10 December, 2019
    UK general election
    Scottish Conservatives set to hang on to most of their 13 seats

    Opinion polls put support near 29% as new leader Jackson Carlaw launches campaign

    2A96EY8 Edinburgh, UK. 13th Nov, 2019. Edinburgh UK November 13 2019; Annie Wells, Scottish Conservative Glasgow MSP on a Scottish Conservative goes street stall in Castle Street to campaign to put forward the case to vote Scottish Conservative in the general election. Credit: Steven Scott Taylor/Alamy Live News
  • Wednesday, 4 December, 2019
    News in-depthThe Big Read
    UK election: the tactical fight to beat Boris Johnson 

    The electorate is more volatile than ever as voters abandon party affiliations after Brexit vote 

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