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Karen Ward

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  • Wednesday, 17 January, 2024
    Markets InsightMonetary policy
    The risk of premature central bank celebrations on inflation

    Fed should look through any temporary weakness in price growth arising as supply chain distortions unwind

    Montage of Federal Reserve logo and photo of Jay Powell
  • Monday, 9 October, 2023
    Markets InsightAsset allocation
    Investors should fight the temptation of cash

    High short-term interest rates are exacerbating a natural desire to hunker down but there are better options

    A pile of US dollars banknotes
  • Tuesday, 13 June, 2023
    Markets InsightMarkets
    Investors need to drop recency bias

    In a world changed by the pandemic and the Ukraine war, new strategies are needed

    The US Treasury department building
  • Tuesday, 7 March, 2023
    Markets InsightMarkets
    Good news on the economy could be bad news for markets

    A period of very slow activity, if not a recession, still seems likely but if growth picks up, rates will have to rise further

    a man walks past a “Hiring” sign at a McDonald’s restaurant in Garden Grove, California.
  • Tuesday, 20 December, 2022
    Markets InsightGlobal inflation
    What a new normal of higher inflation means for investors

    Central banks are likely to accept a modestly increased rate of rising prices

    Container vans in a port
  • Tuesday, 11 October, 2022
    Markets InsightCapital markets
    Why I am starting to get excited about bonds for first time in years

    A brutal repricing of the global debt markets is nearing completion

    Pedestrians near the Bank of England in London, England, in October 2022
  • Sunday, 10 July, 2022
    Markets InsightMarkets
    Why a higher inflation regime will eventually be good for investors

    Stronger nominal demand will mean stronger earnings and sustainably higher interest rates

  • Monday, 14 March, 2022
    Markets InsightUK economy
    Is the UK economy heading back to the chaos of the 1970s?

    Inflation may rise above 9% and stay at that level for much of the year

    A 1979 Nupe strike outside Great Ormond Street Hospital and a Russian gas pipeline, overlaid a line graph depicting the current UK inflation rate
  • Wednesday, 15 December, 2021
    Markets InsightCapital markets
    Bond markets still under threat despite Omicron uncertainty

    Central banks to start process of normalising interest rates in 2022

    Bank underground station in London
  • Wednesday, 25 August, 2021
    Markets InsightMonetary policy
    What the Bank of England exit strategy signals for other central banks

    Investors need to watch out for any potential shift in thinking

    US Federal Reserve building
  • Tuesday, 4 May, 2021
    Markets InsightUS equities
    Equity markets signal it is time to diversify

    High valuations indicate investors should look beyond tech and consumer stocks

    An employee assists customers sitting in the outdoor dining area of a restaurant in New York
  • Monday, 15 February, 2021
    Markets InsightEuropean equities
    The consensus is wrong on European stocks

    Given current low expectations, there are opportunities for investors

  • Monday, 12 October, 2020
    Markets InsightBrexit
    Brexit will affect markets, deal or no deal

    Investors braced for long-awaited resolution to EU-UK negotiations on their future ties

    The two scenarios have very different implications for sterling
  • Monday, 6 July, 2020
    Markets InsightFederal Reserve
    Don’t fight the Fed but don’t depend on it either

    Investors will be smarting if withdrawal of stimulus knocks all assets at the same time

  • Thursday, 16 April, 2020
    Global Economy
    Coronavirus will awaken inflationary forces before year is out

    Virus-induced deflation will soon fade, favouring stocks and inflation-linked bonds

  • Tuesday, 25 February, 2020
    Markets InsightClimate change
    Markets must listen to central bankers’ green conversion

    Get set for a reorientation, and perhaps an extension, of asset purchase programmes

    Mandatory Credit: Photo by ARMANDO BABANI/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock (10536999c) European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde speaks during a press conference following the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank in Frankfurt am Main, Germany, 23 January 2020. The key interest rate in the euro zone will remain at zero percent, the ECB Council decided at its regular meeting. Press conference on ECB Governing Council, Frankfurt Am Main, Germany - 23 Jan 2020
  • Thursday, 28 November, 2019
    Markets InsightUK government spending
    ‘Magic money tree’ offers sour fruit for bondholders

    Beware the impact of spending pledges from across the UK’s political spectrum

    FT Montage/Bloomberg/Reuters javid A collection of British one pound coins sit in this arranged photograph in London, U.K., on Tuesday, Feb 12, 2019. The pound was set for its biggest weekly decline in almost four months after lawmakers dealt U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May another defeat in Parliament as they refused to endorse her Brexit strategy. Photographer: Bryn Colton/Bloomberg
  • Monday, 15 July, 2019
    Markets InsightMonetary policy
    Investors must brace for extraordinary policy reactions

    A co-ordinated fiscal and monetary response may be the best fit but with unpredictable consequences

    A businessman walks in front of the Bank of Japan headquarters in Tokyo on August 30, 2010. The US dollar rose against the yen in Asia as the Bank of Japan was holding an emergency policy meeting which comes after the yen hit 15-year highs against the dollar, threatening Japanese exporters because it makes their products more expensive overseas while eroding repatriated profits. AFP PHOTO / TOSHIFUMI KITAMURA (Photo credit should read TOSHIFUMI KITAMURA/AFP/Getty Images)
  • Monday, 20 May, 2019
    Markets InsightEquities
    Markets are showing unwarranted faith in the Federal Reserve

    Monetary authorities are unable to counter the potential fallout from economic shocks

    FILE - In this May 13, 2019, file photo John Panin monitors stock prices at the New York Stock Exchange. Corporate profits weren’t as bad as analysts forecast in the first three months of the year, and S&P 500 companies may end up reporting no change in earnings when the expectations was for a drop. Wall Street is also getting less pessimistic about growth prospects for future quarters. That’s key for stock prices, which tend to follow the path of corporate profits over the long term. But the U.S.-China trade war could dash the growing optimism. (AP Photo/Mark Lennihan, File)
  • Thursday, 21 February, 2019
    Markets InsightEquities
    Time for stock investors to prepare for a bumpier ride

    A lot needs to go right for equity markets to extend their rebound this year

    Specialist Patrick King, left, works with traders at his post on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Tuesday, Feb. 12, 2019. U.S. stocks are gaining in early trading after U.S. lawmakers reached a tentative deal to avoid another costly government shutdown. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)
  • Wednesday, 2 January, 2019
    Markets InsightEquities
    Only nimble investors can tackle the US-China trade war threat

    Portfolios can be tweaked to improve resilience but no single strategy will work

    The trade tension between China and the US is not likely to ease in 2019
  • Monday, 8 October, 2018
    Markets InsightAsset allocation
    Equity investors can defend against the next downturn

    Defensive sectors such as consumer staples a better path than jumping out of equities completely

    A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., on Monday, April 11, 2016. U.S. stocks rose, with investors bracing for the start of what's forecast to be the biggest earnings slump since the financial crisis. Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg
  • Monday, 6 August, 2018
    Markets InsightSovereign bonds
    Complacency over low-inflation world risks biting bond investors

    Bond market still underestimates danger posed by political developments in the west

    Commuters make their way across the Brooklyn Bridge in New York...Commuters make their way across the Brooklyn Bridge in New York, October 31, 2012. Millions across the Northeast will attempt to resume their normal lives on Wednesday as companies, markets and airports reopen despite grim projections of power and mass transit outages around New York for several more days. Hurricane Sandy, which has killed 40 people in the United States, pushed inland and dumped snow in the Appalachian Mountains. Its remains slowed over Pennsylvania, and it was expected to move north toward western New York and Canada, the National Weather Service said. REUTERS/Keith Bedford (UNITED STATES - Tags: DISASTER ENVIRONMENT)
  • Monday, 8 January, 2018
    World
    Stoxx 600 at 2-year high as European bourses extend global rally
  • Monday, 18 December, 2017
    Markets InsightEurozone economy
    US employment trend set to boost Europe stocks

    Mounting pressure to join the labour force will bolster corporate earnings

    Traders monitor financial data as the DAX index curve shows stock information inside the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, operated by Deutsche Boerse AG, in Frankfurt, Germany, on Thursday, July 27, 2017. European stocks struggled for traction on one of the busiest days for earnings of the year, after a series of positive corporate results spurred equities across Asia. Photographer: Alex Kraus/Bloomberg
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