Chris Giles on Central Banks

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Tuesday, 20 February, 2024

US inflation
What caused the great inflation? Premium content
An international comparison unmasks the culprits and has a sting in the tail
Tuesday, 13 February, 2024

Central banks
Will wage growth keep inflation too high? Premium content
There is little sign of a wage price spiral in the US or eurozone, but the UK is on the edge
Tuesday, 6 February, 2024

Central banks
Dhingra urges BoE not to take a risk with the UK economy Premium content
Dovish rate setter says inflation has been tamed and now is the time to cut interest rates
Tuesday, 30 January, 2024

Central banks
The Fed’s battle against inflation is almost complete Premium content
Disinflation is evident, however you look at the price statistics
Tuesday, 23 January, 2024

Central banks
2024 is still the year for rate cuts Premium content
It is time to take stock as the first big monetary policy meetings of the year take place
Tuesday, 16 January, 2024

Central banks
Central banks look likely to be late in cutting rates Premium content
It’s hard to be nimble when you exaggerate uncertainties
Tuesday, 9 January, 2024

Central banks
A jittery Fed meets serene markets Premium content
Cutting rates too little too late is the likely consequence of policymakers unsure about everything
Tuesday, 2 January, 2024

US interest rates
If Fed calls time on rate rises, how far will it go? Premium content
Markets expect steeper cuts in 2024 than officials, but there are clues to what the bank will do
Tuesday, 19 December, 2023

Central banks
Central banks struggle with changing facts Premium content
Whether they changed their minds or stuck firm, markets did not believe them
Tuesday, 12 December, 2023

Central banks
Is the last mile really the hardest?
When it comes to reducing inflation, central bankers think it is
Tuesday, 5 December, 2023

Central banks
The public are clueless about inflation
That means interest rates are likely to stay high for too long
Tuesday, 28 November, 2023

Central banks
Do we still need to talk about inflation? Premium content
Stephen D King on why his book is still relevant
Tuesday, 21 November, 2023

Central banks
Emerging market central banks may be trumping the Fed and ECB
Policymakers in advanced markets have lessons to learn from Latin America and Asia, though caveats should be noted
Tuesday, 14 November, 2023

Japanese economy
Japan’s elusive wage-price spiral
The central bank rightly still worries inflation will be too low
Tuesday, 7 November, 2023

Central banks
Should we believe what central bankers are saying? Premium content
There has been a lot of talk in recent weeks — not all of it was informative
Tuesday, 31 October, 2023

Central banks
Central banks hold interest rates at a scary time Premium content
The Bank of Canada and European Central Bank’s thinking diverges on economic shocks
Tuesday, 24 October, 2023

Central banks
Chris Giles on inflation crimes and misdemeanours
The end of price stability has unleashed an epidemic of rigid or sloppy thinking
Tuesday, 17 October, 2023

Central banks
Chris Giles on how to solve the Bank of England’s forecasting problem
In my first newsletter: advice for Ben Bernanke, former head of the US Federal Reserve